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Binay regains top spot, Chiz still no. 1 in Pulse Asia survey

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(Photo from Philippine Daily Inquirer)


PASAY CITY (via PhilAmPress) — Vice President Jejomar Binay has regained the lead from Sen. Mary Grace Poe Llamanzares in the latest Pulse Asia survey as Davao City Mayor Rodrigo Duterte surged to a statistical tie with the lady senator who topped another survey.


This means that if the elections were held during the survey period of December 4-11 and immediately after, Binay would likely become the country’s next President come 2016.


Binay, the first to declare intention to run for president, had led the surveys for a long period of time until Senator Poe surged into prominence and joined the race.


Pulse Asia's fourth quarter survey results was non-commissioned nationwide survey involving 1,800 respondents.


The results showed 33 percent of Filipinos, from 19 percent in September, would likely elect Binay as the next President, regaining the top spot from Senator Poe.


This has been the first time after two consecutive quarters that the vice president has topped Pulse Asia’s election survey.


Sharing the second place are Mayor Duterte with 23 percent from September’s 16 percent, and Poe with 21 percent from 26 percent. Due to a margin of error of +/-3 for national percentages, Duterte and Poe are statistically tied.


President Aquino's anointed and administration bet former Interior and Local Government Secretary Manuel "Mar" Roxas II placed third with 17 percent from 20 percent last September.


Senator Miriam Defensor-Santiago got 4 percent.


In the same Pulse Asia survey results, Senator Francis Escudero is still the top choice for vice president, getting 29 percent of the 1,800 respondents. Trailing in second place is Senator Ferdinand Marcos Jr. with 23 percent, while sharing the third place are Senator Alan Peter Cayetano with 18 percent and Camarines Sur Rep. Leni Robredo with 14 percent.


During the survey, respondents were asked: “Sa mga taong nasa listahang ito, sino ang inyong iboboto bilang Presidente ng Pilipinas kung ang eleksiyon ng 2016 ay gaganapin ngayon at sila ay mga kandidato?” (Of the people on this list, who would you vote for President of the Philippines if the 2016 elections were held today and they are candidates?) They were allowed to choose only one.


Pulse Asia said the other presidential candidates included in the electoral probe each registered voter preferences of at most 4 percent.


Only 1 percent of Filipino registered voters were either not inclined to support any of the presidentiables included in the survey or still do not know whom they will vote for as president in May 2016, while less than 1 percent refused to identify their preferred presidential bet.


Across geographic areas, Duterte has a clear lead over the other candidates in Mindanao with 43 percent.


In Metro Manila, Binay with 30 percent, Duterte with 27 percent, and Poe with 21 percent shared the top spot, due to a margin of error of +/-6 in the National Capital Region.


In the rest of Luzon, Binay with 34 percent and Poe with 29 percent were the leading presidential bets. In the Visayas, top choices for president were Binay with 34 percent and Roxas with 27 percent.

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